National Football League picks vs. spread, divisional playoffs: Quarterback mismatches define weekend

WHO YA GOT? Pick the winners of the NFL Divisional round

WHO YA GOT? Pick the winners of the NFL Divisional round

Last week in the Wild Card round, I went 2-2.

There's no question in my mind that New England gets this W. Tennessee's win last week was more about Kansas City's ineptitude rather than the Titans' good play. They were down 21-3 at halftime, but never gave up and went on to score 19 unanswered points. He's at his best when he's motivated by controversies like the story that he went behind Belichick's back to owner Robert Kraft and demanded the Patriots trade back-up quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo (which they did). However, their first playoff appearance since 2008 will nearly surely end on Saturday in Foxborough.

Is Jacksonville's defense good enough to contain Pittsburgh's playmakers?

Here's a look at 10 important factors to watch during the weekend's games. But the other was a game-clinching block on a handoff to tailback Derrick Henry. What childhood game will become the next touchdown dance celebration?

- Jacksonville had 11 interceptions on the road during the regular season, tied for the second most in the league. That's barely ahead of the Jaguars who slugged their way to a 10-3 Wild Card win over the Buffalo Bills and now must travel to Pittsburgh. The defense has been dominant, allowing the fewest points per game in the league, but it is not as if the defense has been doing it all by themselves. Antonio Brown is fully healthy, and have I mentioned that Blake Bortles is trash? Together with the powerful right arm of Ben Roethlisberger and fellow receivers JuJu Smith-Schuster and Martavis Bryant, the Steelers offense will be as potent as ever. In the past three weeks, Atlanta's defense hasallowed third-down conversions less than 31 percent of the time, a touchdownin the red-zone only 25 percent of the time andfirst downs on less than 27 percent of plays. I will do some recaps from the previous week of football to start out. I know the Jags have a great defense but the Steelers are multiple, truly a balanced offense. The Steelers offense is too loaded, as well, so I think Pittsburgh will win.

Last Saturday, the Falcons marched their way to a somewhat surprising 26-13 victory on the road over the Los Angeles Rams. A near flawless game plan in Los Angeles kept the high powered Rams offense off the field - they limited running back Todd Gurley to just 18 touches and dominated the time of possession by over 15 minutes!

The Patriots are 9-1 at home in the playoffs since the 2011 season. Keenum has been around the block in the National Football League, but this will be his first ever postseason appearance.

The Atlanta Falcons are probably the only team left in these playoffs that can argue they're fighting against history more than the Minnesota Vikings are. The Eagles may have zero expectations at home, but they are also minus a quarterback named Carson Wentz. Foles is a solid backup, but so far he has had trouble integrating himself into the offense that was so successful with Wentz. It would be nice to see the Patriots line pushed to a field goal with the tease, but I'm not sweating 3 to 3.5. Matt Ryan and Julio Jones should do just enough against the Eagles in order to send Atlanta back to the NFC Championship.

It's hard to be a starting quarterback making a playoff debut, no matter how much of a veteran you are.

On the other hand, the defending NFC champions Falcons will have an easy victory against the Eagles, while the Vikings will enjoy a home field advantage over the Saints.

Minnesota Vikings +6.5 (from -3.5) vs.

How does this group rank from No. 8 to No. 1?

Drew Brees and the Saints running game are headed to Minnesota to try and upset the Vikings.

Case Keenum stepped in for Bradford and has had an MVP-type season. Even so, I expect him to put up a decent performance against the Saints defense, which is mediocre, to put it lightly.

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