Is Kentucky Derby favorite Justify too good to be true?

In December the city announced plans to finally repave some of downtown Louisville's most torn-up streets. Yet six weeks into spring- and three days before the city's premiere event of the year- those streets are as bad as ever

In December the city announced plans to finally repave some of downtown Louisville's most torn-up streets. Yet six weeks into spring- and three days before the city's premiere event of the year- those streets are as bad as ever

"We know we have a really good horse, but there's a lot of really good horses out there this year", the trainer said. The Starlight horses have a poor record in this race, never having finished better than ninth since Lucarelli joined forces with Starlight founders Jack and Laurie Wolf in 2004.

Brian Zipse from DerbyDayRacing.com and HorseRacingNation.com broke down the Kentucky Derby field and went into detail about the style and prospects for every horse.

The 3-year-old colts prepare for their one and only chance at running in the Derby by jogging and galloping on the track.

Magnum Moon, the 6-1 third choice, also is unbeaten and didn't run as a 2-year-old.

Mendelssohn impressed in his first Kentucky Derby workout, writes Jake Lourim for the Louisville Courier Journal. "If you don't have success, you're not going to get those opportunities". Now, the Travers? That would be a totally different story. "I think $500,000 (Justify's auction price after a $499,000 reserve) scared a lot of them off, OK".

Also, we will have a special video session on handicapping the Derby, featuring noted Southern California handicapper Bob Ike and South Point's house handicapper Patrick McQuiggan available for viewing later Thursday as well.

"We just wanted to get him out and stretch his legs", Keating said to a throng of media around Barn 17. Those three races are all held over the summer, so they are not exact equivalents of the Triple Crown.

A New York-bred son of Into Mischief, Audible is campaigned by WinStar, China Horse Club, Head of Plains Partners, and Starlight Racing.

That favorite, unraced at 2, was ridden by Mike Smith and trained by Baffert. I think the latter is most likely, which leads me to forecast a medium to slow early pace, but that could change in the blink of an eye if one of them breaks slowly or someone else decides to try to steal the race. Justify, unraced as a 2-year-old, is undefeated in three starts after a three-length win over Bolt d'Oro in the Grade I Santa Anita Derby. Mott said the recovery time can help them mature. "This is the best shot Starlight has ever had".

The last time a horse who didn't run as a juvenile won the Kentucky Derby came in 1882.

Baffert nearly had a third starter this year until McKinzie developed a hind end issue that knocked him off the Derby trail.

Perhaps Mendelssohn, based in Ireland, will give the first leg of the Triple Crown an global flair.

Mangum Moon is descended from 1977 Triple Crown victor Seattle Slew.

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